Preview: Bobcats vs Pacers, Game 22 « Queen City Hoops

Preview: Bobcats vs Pacers, Game 22

Who: Indiana Pacers vs Charlotte Bobcats
What: NBA Basketball – Pacers Home Game
When: 12/10/2010 at 7pm eastern
Where: Live at Conseco Fieldhouse, on tv, SportSouth, and radio, WFNZ-AM 610

The Matchup:

Record Offensive
Efficiency
Defensive
Efficiency
Pace
Indiana 10-10 104.5 (17) 101.8 (8) 95.5 (9)
Charlotte 8-13 102.9 (22) 104.8 (15) 92.1 (23)

Previous Meetings:
10/29 – 104-101 Indiana-  Boxscore

Injuries:
Indiana: None?
Charlotte: Gerald Henderson – Out; Tyrus Thomas – Doubtful

Starting Lineups

Pacers Bobcats
PG Darren Collison D.J. Augustin
SG MIke Dunleavy Stephen Jackson
SF Danny Granger Gerald Wallace
PF Josh McRoberts Boris Diaw
C Roy Hibbert Nazr Mohammed

From the other side:
From 8 points, 9 seconds: Game #21 Preview: I got nothing -

Honestly, they rival the Cavs and Pistons for most boring roster in the NBA and seemingly have no interesting future to speculate upon. Sure, last year they made the playoffs and were the best defensive team in the NBA, but so far that hasn’t translated to 2010-11. I’m sure they will pull it together.

But hopefully not this evening.

Quick thoughts:
Rick Bonnell posted Larry Brown’s defense of using Dominic McGuire in front of Derrick Brown earlier this week – read here at Brown on McGuire vs Brown – and Larry’s main foci were position and aptitudes: Derrick Brown being a tweener big man and Dominic a tweener wing, with Dominic filling a Bobcats weakness more so than Derrick. The other was Dominic’s strong defense and board work earning him time – and the swap tool says Larry is making the right call:

Actual Efficiency Stats
Time Offensive
Efficiency
Defensive
Efficiency
Net
Efficiency
Pythagorean
Record
Points/
100 Poss
Poss Used/
100 Poss
Off Rebs/
100 Poss
Against
Points/
100 Poss
Against
Poss Used/
100 Poss
Against
Off Rebs/
100 Poss
Derrick Brown 264:38 107.6 98.6 9 63.4 – 18.6 16.7 15.2 2.6 26.9 24.1 3.1
Dominic McGuire 133:48 104.9 102.3 2.6 48.1 – 33.9 9.9 16.7 4.6 17.0 23.2 1.5
Charlotte Efficiency Stats With Dominic McGuire replacing Derrick Brown
Offensive
Efficiency
Defensive
Efficiency
Net Efficiency Pythagorean
Record
Charlotte with
Dominic McGuire
100.8 88.1 12.7 71.2 – 10.8
Charlotte with
Derrick Brown
107.6 98.6 9 63.4 – 18.6
Change -6.8 +10.5 +3.7 +7.8 wins

Expect to see Dominic a lot tonight with Tyrus Thomas likely out, as the Bobcats will be able to use him from the 2 to 4 to backup the starters.

3 comments to Preview: Bobcats vs Pacers, Game 22

  • Lets see if the Cats can get it together. Although they r facing one of the more improved teams in the NBA who has an emerging All Star Center in Roy hibbert and a ressurected Brandon Rush who is playing like the Allstar many expected him to be.

  • Interesting. How much of that is colored by McGuire’s one fantastic game? After all, that was nearly a quarter of his minutes this season. How do they compare when considering their entire careers?

    Furthermore, is it “the right call” given that McGuire is a proven mediocrity and D. Brown is still showing what he can do? I’m all for buying that one’s defensive contributions can outweigh the more apparent offensive contributions, but at the very least, going through the process of discovering and measuring a player’s talent has value.

    • David – without the Milwaukee game, Dominic’s offensive numbers go to 6.4 points and 17.4 possessions used per 100 team possessions – and the rebounds drop to 3.9. The defensive measures are largely unchanged. So, without Milwaukee and back of the napkin calculations – the Cats offense goes to -11 with Dom on the court for Derrick, with the defensive mark staying about where it is. So, a slight edge in Derrick’s favor – but it’s hard to imagine McGuire’s offense is quite as bad as the 5 for 28 shooting performance he has put up in the rest of the games. For his career, his shooting percentage is just over 40%, buoyed by the one “good” season in Washington.

      I guess I should have been more clear in my point – if Larry’s criteria is defense and rebounding (in addition to the position he needs help at), then Dom has shown himself superior to Derrick in those areas so far. For now – the numbers support Larry, but that doesn’t mean I’m crazy about it.